People

Professor Paul Clarke

Professor
Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)
Professor Paul Clarke

Teaching and supervision

Previous supervision

Damian Machlanski
Damian Machlanski
Thesis title: Understanding Hyperparameters in Machine Learning for Causal Estimation From Observational Data
Degree subject: Computer Science
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 1/10/2024
Steven John Haworth
Steven John Haworth
Thesis title: The Interplay Between Social Isolation and the Immune System and the Identification of Underpinning Mechanisms
Degree subject: Biosocial Research
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 15/5/2023
Kristopher Desmond Bevan
Kristopher Desmond Bevan
Thesis title: Maternal Separation in Childhood and the Role of Biomarkers of Stress in its Association with Mental Health
Degree subject: Biosocial Research
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 9/1/2023
Farzaneh Hemmati Torabi
Farzaneh Hemmati Torabi
Thesis title: The Effect of Health on the Labour Force Outcome Among Working Age Individuals in the Uk.
Degree subject: Economics
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 3/12/2020
Maria Holcekova
Maria Holcekova
Thesis title: Disparity in Precarity: Measuring Insecurity and Inequality in Youth Transitions From Education Into and Within the Labour Market
Degree subject: Sociological Research
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 3/9/2020
Burak Sonmez
Burak Sonmez
Thesis title: Rethinking Charitable Actions: Identifying the New Characteristics of Social Solidarity.
Degree subject: Sociology
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 3/10/2019
Carlos Enrique Lagorio
Carlos Enrique Lagorio
Thesis title: Applications of Paradata in Survey Design and Analysis
Degree subject: Survey Methodology
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 15/4/2019
Beatriz Yadira Diaz Cuervo
Beatriz Yadira Diaz Cuervo
Thesis title: Multidimensional and Persistent Poverty: Methodological Approaches to Measurement Issues
Degree subject: Economics
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 15/9/2016

Publications

Publications (4)

Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2023). Hyperparameter Tuning and Model Evaluation in Causal Effect Estimation

Clarke, P. and Polselli, A., (2023). Double Machine Learning for Static Panel Models with Fixed Effects

Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2023). Robustness of Algorithms for Causal Structure Learning to Hyperparameter Choice

Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2022). Undersmoothing Causal Estimators with Generative Trees

Journal articles (42)

Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2024). Undersmoothing Causal Estimators With Generative Trees. IEEE Access. 12, 38562-38574

Lynn, P., Cabrera Alvarez, P. and Clarke, P., (2023). Sample composition and representativeness on Understanding Society. Fiscal Studies. 44 (4), 341-359

Clarke, P. and Bao, Y., (2022). Estimating mode effects from a sequential mixed-mode experiment using structural moment models. The Annals of Applied Statistics. 16 (3), 1563-1585

Lynch, TR., Hempel, RJ., Whalley, B., Byford, S., Chamba, R., Clarke, P., Clarke, S., Kingdon, DG., O'Mahen, H., Remington, B., Rushbrook, SC., Shearer, J., Stanton, M., Swales, M., Watkins, A. and Russell, IT., (2020). Refractory depression – mechanisms and efficacy of radically open dialectical behaviour therapy (RefraMED): findings of a randomised trial on benefits and harms. The British Journal of Psychiatry. 216 (4), 204-212

Steele, F., Clarke, PS. and Kuha, J., (2019). Modeling within-household associations in household panel studies. The Annals of Applied Statistics. 13 (1), 367-392

Bao, Y., Clarke, PS., Smart, M. and Kumari, M., (2019). Assessing the robustness of sisVIVE in a Mendelian randomization study to estimate the causal effect of body mass index on income using multiple SNPs from understanding society. Statistics in Medicine. 38 (9), 1529-1542

Clarke, PS., Lynch, TR., Hempel, RJ., Whalley, B., Byford, S., Chamba, R., Clarke, S., Kingdon, D., O'Mahen, H., Remington, B., Rushbrook, SC., Shearer, J., Stanton, M., Swales, M., Watkins, A. and Russell, IT., (2018). Radically Open Dialectical Behaviour Therapy for Treatment-Resistant Depression: A Randomised Controlled Trial. Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation

Lynch, TR., Hempel, RJ., Whalley, B., Byford, S., Chamba, R., Clarke, P., Clarke, S., Kingdon, D., O’Mahen, H., Remington, B., Rushbrook, SC., Shearer, J., Stanton, M., Swales, M., Watkins, A. and Russell, IT., (2018). Radically open dialectical behaviour therapy for refractory depression: the RefraMED RCT

Steele, F., Clarke, P., Leckie, G., Allan, J. and Johnston, D., (2017). Multilevel structural equation models for longitudinal data where predictors are measured more frequently than outcomes: an application to the effects of stress on the cognitive function of nurses. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society). 180 (1), 263-283

Hanly, M., Clarke, P. and Steele, F., (2016). Sequence Analysis of Call Record Data:Exploring the Role of Different Cost Settings. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society. 179 (3), 793-808

Clarke, PS., Palmer, TM. and Windmeijer, F., (2015). Estimating Structural Mean Models with Multiple Instrumental Variables Using the Generalised Method of Moments. Statistical Science. 30 (1), 96-117

Lynch, TR., Whalley, B., Hempel, RJ., Byford, S., Clarke, P., Clarke, S., Kingdon, D., O'Mahen, H., Russell, IT., Shearer, J., Stanton, M., Swales, M., Watkins, A. and Remington, B., (2015). Refractory depression: mechanisms and evaluation of radically open dialectical behaviour therapy (RO-DBT) [REFRAMED]: protocol for randomised trial. BMJ Open. 5 (7), e008857-e008857

Clarke, P., Crawford, C., Steele, F. and Vignoles, A., (2015). Revisiting fixed- and random-effects models: some considerations for policy-relevant education research. Education Economics. 23 (3), 259-277

Washbrook, E., Clarke, PS. and Steele, F., (2014). Investigating Non-Ignorable Dropout in Panel Studies of Residential Mobility. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. 63 (2), 239-266

Steele, F., Clarke, P. and Washbrook, E., (2013). Modeling Household Decisions Using Longitudinal Data from Household Panel Surveys, with Applications to Residential Mobility. Sociological Methodology. 43 (1), 220-271

Szmaragd, C., Clarke, P. and Steele, F., (2013). Subject specific and population average models for binary longitudinal data: a tutorial. Longitudinal and Life Course Studies. 4 (2)

Clarke, PS. and Windmeijer, F., (2012). Instrumental Variable Estimators for Binary Outcomes. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 107 (500), 1638-1652

Griffin, JT., Garske, T., Ghani, AC. and Clarke, PS., (2011). Joint estimation of the basic reproduction number and generation time parameters for infectious disease outbreaks. Biostatistics. 12 (2), 303-312

Chadeau-Hyam, M., Clarke, PS., Guihenneuc-Jouyaux, C., Cousens, SN., Will, RG. and Ghani, AC., (2010). An Application of Hidden Markov Models to the French Variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob Disease Epidemic. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. 59 (5), 839-853

Clarke, PS. and Windmeijer, F., (2010). Identification of causal effects on binary outcomes using structural mean models. Biostatistics. 11 (4), 756-770

Pearson, SC. and Clarke, P., (2007). Changes in British men's use of family planning services between 1991 and 2000: secondary analysis of a national survey. Journal of Family Planning and Reproductive Health Care. 33 (3), 183-187

Clarke, P., Will, RG. and Ghani, AC., (2007). Is there the potential for an epidemic of variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease via blood transfusion in the UK?. Journal of The Royal Society Interface. 4 (15), 675-684

Clarke, PS. and Ghani, AC., (2007). A note on parameter estimation for variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease epidemic models. Statistics in Medicine. 26 (3), 546-552

Garske, T., Clarke, P. and Ghani, AC., (2007). The Transmissibility of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in Commercial Poultry in Industrialised Countries. PLoS ONE. 2 (4), e349-e349

Chandola, T., Clarke, P., Morris, JN. and Blane, D., (2006). Pathways Between Education and Health: A Causal Modelling Approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society. 169 (2), 337-359

Garske, T., Ward, HJT., Clarke, P., Will, RG. and Ghani, AC., (2006). Factors determining the potential for onward transmission of variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease via surgical instruments. Journal of The Royal Society Interface. 3 (11), 757-766

Chandola, T., (2005). Who you live with and where you live: setting the context for health using multiple membership multilevel models. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health. 59 (2), 170-175

Clarke, PS. and Smith, PWF., (2005). On maximum likelihood estimation for log-linear models with non-ignorable non-response. Statistics & Probability Letters. 73 (4), 441-448

Sacker, A., Clarke, P., Wiggins, RD. and Bartley, M., (2005). Social dynamics of health inequalities: a growth curve analysis of aging and self assessed health in the British household panel survey 1991–2001. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 59 (6), 495-501

Clarke, P. and Ghani, AC., (2005). Projections of the future course of the primary vCJD epidemic in the UK: inclusion of subclinical infection and the possibility of wider genetic susceptibility. Journal of The Royal Society Interface. 2 (2), 19-31

Clarke, PS., (2005). Analysing change based on two measures taken under different conditions. Statistics in Medicine. 24 (22), 3401-3415

Bartley, M., Sacker, A. and Clarke, P., (2004). Employment status, employment conditions, and limiting illness: prospective evidence from the British household panel survey 1991–2001. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 58 (6), 501-506

Clarke, PS., (2004). Causal Analysis of Individual Change Using the Difference Score. Epidemiology. 15 (4), 414-421

Clarke, PS. and Smith, PWF., (2004). Interval Estimation for Log-Linear Models with One Variable Subject to Non-Ignorable Non-Response. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology. 66 (2), 357-368

Clarke, P., Sproston, K. and Thomas, R., (2003). An investigation into expectation-led interviewer effects in health surveys. Social Science & Medicine. 56 (10), 2221-2228

Sacker, A., Wiggins, RD., Clarke, P. and Bartley, M., (2003). Making sense of symptom checklists: a latent class approach to the first 9 years of the British Household Panel Survey. Journal of Public Health. 25 (3), 215-222

Brunner, EJ., Hemingway, H., Walker, BR., Page, M., Clarke, P., Juneja, M., Shipley, MJ., Kumari, M., Andrew, R., Seckl, JR., Papadopoulos, A., Checkley, S., Rumley, A., Lowe, GDO., Stansfeld, SA. and Marmot, MG., (2002). Adrenocortical, Autonomic, and Inflammatory Causes of the Metabolic Syndrome. Circulation. 106 (21), 2659-2665

Lynn, P. and Clarke, P., (2002). Separating refusal bias and non-contact bias: evidence from UK national surveys. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician). 51 (3), 319-333

Clarke, PS., (2002). On boundary solutions and identifiability in categorical regression with non-ignorable non-response. Biometrical Journal. 44 (6), 701-717

Clarke, PS. and Tate, PF., (2002). An Application of Non–Ignorable Non–Response Models for Gross Flows Estimation in the British Labour Force Survey. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 44 (4), 413-425

Singh-Manoux, A., Clarke, P. and Marmot, M., (2002). Multiple measures of socio-economic position and psychosocial health: proximal and distal measures. International Journal of Epidemiology. 31 (6), 1192-1199

Smith, PWF., Skinner, CJ. and Clarke, PS., (1999). Allowing for Non-Ignorable Non-Response in the Analysis of Voting Intention Data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. 48 (4), 563-577

Books (1)

Harris, A., Gunraj, J., James, S., Clarke, P. and Harris, B., (2006). Improving Schools in Exceptionally Challenging Circumstances: Tales from the Frontline

Book chapters (1)

Clarke, P. and Hardy, R., (2007). Methods for handling missing data. In: Epidemiological Methods in Life Course Research. Oxford University Press. 157- 180. 9780198528487

Conferences (1)

Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2024). Robustness of Algorithms for Causal Structure Learning to Hyperparameter Choice

Grants and funding

2024

Double Machine Learning for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Panel Data

British Academy

2023

Understanding Society Waves 17-22

Economic and Social Research Council

Understanding Society Waves 17-22

Economic and Social Research Council

RESTED - REbalancing circadian rhythm of sleep and heart rate To Ease Dissociative symptoms

Wellcome Trust

2021

(In)Consistency of responses to self-assessed health measures and implications for biosocial research

Economic and Social Research Council

Cancer Pathways

Mid and South Essex NHS Foundation Trust

2020

Understanding Society: The UK Household Longitudinal Survey Waves 13-15

Economic and Social Research Council

2019

The Research Centre on Micro-Social Change (MiSoC)

Economic and Social Research Council

The Research Centre on Micro-Social Change (MiSoC)

Economic and Social Research Council

The Research Centre on Micro-Social Change (MiSoC)

Economic and Social Research Council

2018

Discovering Individual and Social Preferences through Inverse Reinforcement Learning

Economic and Social Research Council

Develop AI methods to optimise interactions with customers.

Innovate UK (formerly Technology Strategy Board)

Understanding Society: The UK Household Longitudinal Study Wave 12

Economic and Social Research Council

2015

How can biomarkers and genetics improve our understanding of society and health?

Economic & Social Research Council

2014

Developing methods for understanding mechanism in complex interventions

Medical Research Council

2013

LEMMA 3: Longitudinal Effects, Multilevel Modelling & Applications

Economic & Social Research Council

Dialectical Behaviour Therapy for Treatment - Resistant Depression : A Randomised Controlled Trial

Medical Research Council

Contact

pclarke@essex.ac.uk
+44 (0) 1206 873760

Location:

2N2.4.20, Colchester Campus