Professor Paul Clarke
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Email
pclarke@essex.ac.uk -
Telephone
+44 (0) 1206 873760
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Location
2N2.4.20, Colchester Campus
Teaching and supervision
Current supervision
Previous supervision
Degree subject: Computer Science
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 1/10/2024
Degree subject: Biosocial Research
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 15/5/2023
Degree subject: Biosocial Research
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 9/1/2023
Degree subject: Economics
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 3/12/2020
Degree subject: Sociological Research
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 3/9/2020
Degree subject: Sociology
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 3/10/2019
Degree subject: Survey Methodology
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 15/4/2019
Degree subject: Economics
Degree type: Doctor of Philosophy
Awarded date: 15/9/2016
Publications
Publications (4)
Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2023). Hyperparameter Tuning and Model Evaluation in Causal Effect Estimation
Clarke, P. and Polselli, A., (2023). Double Machine Learning for Static Panel Models with Fixed Effects
Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2023). Robustness of Algorithms for Causal Structure Learning to Hyperparameter Choice
Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2022). Undersmoothing Causal Estimators with Generative Trees
Journal articles (42)
Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2024). Undersmoothing Causal Estimators With Generative Trees. IEEE Access. 12, 38562-38574
Lynn, P., Cabrera Alvarez, P. and Clarke, P., (2023). Sample composition and representativeness on Understanding Society. Fiscal Studies. 44 (4), 341-359
Clarke, P. and Bao, Y., (2022). Estimating mode effects from a sequential mixed-mode experiment using structural moment models. The Annals of Applied Statistics. 16 (3), 1563-1585
Lynch, TR., Hempel, RJ., Whalley, B., Byford, S., Chamba, R., Clarke, P., Clarke, S., Kingdon, DG., O'Mahen, H., Remington, B., Rushbrook, SC., Shearer, J., Stanton, M., Swales, M., Watkins, A. and Russell, IT., (2020). Refractory depression – mechanisms and efficacy of radically open dialectical behaviour therapy (RefraMED): findings of a randomised trial on benefits and harms. The British Journal of Psychiatry. 216 (4), 204-212
Steele, F., Clarke, PS. and Kuha, J., (2019). Modeling within-household associations in household panel studies. The Annals of Applied Statistics. 13 (1), 367-392
Bao, Y., Clarke, PS., Smart, M. and Kumari, M., (2019). Assessing the robustness of sisVIVE in a Mendelian randomization study to estimate the causal effect of body mass index on income using multiple SNPs from understanding society. Statistics in Medicine. 38 (9), 1529-1542
Clarke, PS., Lynch, TR., Hempel, RJ., Whalley, B., Byford, S., Chamba, R., Clarke, S., Kingdon, D., O'Mahen, H., Remington, B., Rushbrook, SC., Shearer, J., Stanton, M., Swales, M., Watkins, A. and Russell, IT., (2018). Radically Open Dialectical Behaviour Therapy for Treatment-Resistant Depression: A Randomised Controlled Trial. Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation
Lynch, TR., Hempel, RJ., Whalley, B., Byford, S., Chamba, R., Clarke, P., Clarke, S., Kingdon, D., O’Mahen, H., Remington, B., Rushbrook, SC., Shearer, J., Stanton, M., Swales, M., Watkins, A. and Russell, IT., (2018). Radically open dialectical behaviour therapy for refractory depression: the RefraMED RCT
Steele, F., Clarke, P., Leckie, G., Allan, J. and Johnston, D., (2017). Multilevel structural equation models for longitudinal data where predictors are measured more frequently than outcomes: an application to the effects of stress on the cognitive function of nurses. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society). 180 (1), 263-283
Hanly, M., Clarke, P. and Steele, F., (2016). Sequence Analysis of Call Record Data:Exploring the Role of Different Cost Settings. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society. 179 (3), 793-808
Clarke, PS., Palmer, TM. and Windmeijer, F., (2015). Estimating Structural Mean Models with Multiple Instrumental Variables Using the Generalised Method of Moments. Statistical Science. 30 (1), 96-117
Lynch, TR., Whalley, B., Hempel, RJ., Byford, S., Clarke, P., Clarke, S., Kingdon, D., O'Mahen, H., Russell, IT., Shearer, J., Stanton, M., Swales, M., Watkins, A. and Remington, B., (2015). Refractory depression: mechanisms and evaluation of radically open dialectical behaviour therapy (RO-DBT) [REFRAMED]: protocol for randomised trial. BMJ Open. 5 (7), e008857-e008857
Clarke, P., Crawford, C., Steele, F. and Vignoles, A., (2015). Revisiting fixed- and random-effects models: some considerations for policy-relevant education research. Education Economics. 23 (3), 259-277
Washbrook, E., Clarke, PS. and Steele, F., (2014). Investigating Non-Ignorable Dropout in Panel Studies of Residential Mobility. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. 63 (2), 239-266
Steele, F., Clarke, P. and Washbrook, E., (2013). Modeling Household Decisions Using Longitudinal Data from Household Panel Surveys, with Applications to Residential Mobility. Sociological Methodology. 43 (1), 220-271
Szmaragd, C., Clarke, P. and Steele, F., (2013). Subject specific and population average models for binary longitudinal data: a tutorial. Longitudinal and Life Course Studies. 4 (2)
Clarke, PS. and Windmeijer, F., (2012). Instrumental Variable Estimators for Binary Outcomes. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 107 (500), 1638-1652
Griffin, JT., Garske, T., Ghani, AC. and Clarke, PS., (2011). Joint estimation of the basic reproduction number and generation time parameters for infectious disease outbreaks. Biostatistics. 12 (2), 303-312
Chadeau-Hyam, M., Clarke, PS., Guihenneuc-Jouyaux, C., Cousens, SN., Will, RG. and Ghani, AC., (2010). An Application of Hidden Markov Models to the French Variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob Disease Epidemic. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. 59 (5), 839-853
Clarke, PS. and Windmeijer, F., (2010). Identification of causal effects on binary outcomes using structural mean models. Biostatistics. 11 (4), 756-770
Pearson, SC. and Clarke, P., (2007). Changes in British men's use of family planning services between 1991 and 2000: secondary analysis of a national survey. Journal of Family Planning and Reproductive Health Care. 33 (3), 183-187
Clarke, P., Will, RG. and Ghani, AC., (2007). Is there the potential for an epidemic of variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease via blood transfusion in the UK?. Journal of The Royal Society Interface. 4 (15), 675-684
Clarke, PS. and Ghani, AC., (2007). A note on parameter estimation for variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease epidemic models. Statistics in Medicine. 26 (3), 546-552
Garske, T., Clarke, P. and Ghani, AC., (2007). The Transmissibility of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in Commercial Poultry in Industrialised Countries. PLoS ONE. 2 (4), e349-e349
Chandola, T., Clarke, P., Morris, JN. and Blane, D., (2006). Pathways Between Education and Health: A Causal Modelling Approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society. 169 (2), 337-359
Garske, T., Ward, HJT., Clarke, P., Will, RG. and Ghani, AC., (2006). Factors determining the potential for onward transmission of variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease via surgical instruments. Journal of The Royal Society Interface. 3 (11), 757-766
Chandola, T., (2005). Who you live with and where you live: setting the context for health using multiple membership multilevel models. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health. 59 (2), 170-175
Clarke, PS. and Smith, PWF., (2005). On maximum likelihood estimation for log-linear models with non-ignorable non-response. Statistics & Probability Letters. 73 (4), 441-448
Sacker, A., Clarke, P., Wiggins, RD. and Bartley, M., (2005). Social dynamics of health inequalities: a growth curve analysis of aging and self assessed health in the British household panel survey 1991–2001. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 59 (6), 495-501
Clarke, P. and Ghani, AC., (2005). Projections of the future course of the primary vCJD epidemic in the UK: inclusion of subclinical infection and the possibility of wider genetic susceptibility. Journal of The Royal Society Interface. 2 (2), 19-31
Clarke, PS., (2005). Analysing change based on two measures taken under different conditions. Statistics in Medicine. 24 (22), 3401-3415
Bartley, M., Sacker, A. and Clarke, P., (2004). Employment status, employment conditions, and limiting illness: prospective evidence from the British household panel survey 1991–2001. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 58 (6), 501-506
Clarke, PS., (2004). Causal Analysis of Individual Change Using the Difference Score. Epidemiology. 15 (4), 414-421
Clarke, PS. and Smith, PWF., (2004). Interval Estimation for Log-Linear Models with One Variable Subject to Non-Ignorable Non-Response. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology. 66 (2), 357-368
Clarke, P., Sproston, K. and Thomas, R., (2003). An investigation into expectation-led interviewer effects in health surveys. Social Science & Medicine. 56 (10), 2221-2228
Sacker, A., Wiggins, RD., Clarke, P. and Bartley, M., (2003). Making sense of symptom checklists: a latent class approach to the first 9 years of the British Household Panel Survey. Journal of Public Health. 25 (3), 215-222
Brunner, EJ., Hemingway, H., Walker, BR., Page, M., Clarke, P., Juneja, M., Shipley, MJ., Kumari, M., Andrew, R., Seckl, JR., Papadopoulos, A., Checkley, S., Rumley, A., Lowe, GDO., Stansfeld, SA. and Marmot, MG., (2002). Adrenocortical, Autonomic, and Inflammatory Causes of the Metabolic Syndrome. Circulation. 106 (21), 2659-2665
Lynn, P. and Clarke, P., (2002). Separating refusal bias and non-contact bias: evidence from UK national surveys. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician). 51 (3), 319-333
Clarke, PS., (2002). On boundary solutions and identifiability in categorical regression with non-ignorable non-response. Biometrical Journal. 44 (6), 701-717
Clarke, PS. and Tate, PF., (2002). An Application of Non–Ignorable Non–Response Models for Gross Flows Estimation in the British Labour Force Survey. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 44 (4), 413-425
Singh-Manoux, A., Clarke, P. and Marmot, M., (2002). Multiple measures of socio-economic position and psychosocial health: proximal and distal measures. International Journal of Epidemiology. 31 (6), 1192-1199
Smith, PWF., Skinner, CJ. and Clarke, PS., (1999). Allowing for Non-Ignorable Non-Response in the Analysis of Voting Intention Data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. 48 (4), 563-577
Books (1)
Harris, A., Gunraj, J., James, S., Clarke, P. and Harris, B., (2006). Improving Schools in Exceptionally Challenging Circumstances: Tales from the Frontline
Book chapters (1)
Clarke, P. and Hardy, R., (2007). Methods for handling missing data. In: Epidemiological Methods in Life Course Research. Oxford University Press. 157- 180. 9780198528487
Conferences (1)
Machlanski, D., Samothrakis, S. and Clarke, P., (2024). Robustness of Algorithms for Causal Structure Learning to Hyperparameter Choice
Grants and funding
2024
Double Machine Learning for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Panel Data
British Academy
ESRC Research Centre on Micro-Social Change
Economic and Social Research Council
2023
Understanding Society Waves 17-22
Economic and Social Research Council
Understanding Society Waves 17-22
Economic and Social Research Council
RESTED - REbalancing circadian rhythm of sleep and heart rate To Ease Dissociative symptoms
Wellcome Trust
2021
(In)Consistency of responses to self-assessed health measures and implications for biosocial research
Economic and Social Research Council
Cancer Pathways
Mid and South Essex NHS Foundation Trust
2020
Understanding Society: The UK Household Longitudinal Survey Waves 13-15
Economic and Social Research Council
2019
The Research Centre on Micro-Social Change (MiSoC)
Economic and Social Research Council
The Research Centre on Micro-Social Change (MiSoC)
Economic and Social Research Council
The Research Centre on Micro-Social Change (MiSoC)
Economic and Social Research Council
2018
Discovering Individual and Social Preferences through Inverse Reinforcement Learning
Economic and Social Research Council
Develop AI methods to optimise interactions with customers.
Innovate UK (formerly Technology Strategy Board)
Understanding Society: The UK Household Longitudinal Study Wave 12
Economic and Social Research Council
2015
How can biomarkers and genetics improve our understanding of society and health?
Economic & Social Research Council
2014
Developing methods for understanding mechanism in complex interventions
Medical Research Council
2013
LEMMA 3: Longitudinal Effects, Multilevel Modelling & Applications
Economic & Social Research Council
Dialectical Behaviour Therapy for Treatment - Resistant Depression : A Randomised Controlled Trial
Medical Research Council